Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.73%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.