SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 19 | 22 | 45 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 19 | 19 | 40 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 28 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Molde |
21.55% ( 0.08) | 24.92% ( -0.04) | 53.53% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.43% ( 0.22) | 53.56% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( 0.19) | 75.07% ( -0.19) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( 0.21) | 39.78% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.55% ( 0.19) | 76.45% ( -0.2) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( 0.07) | 19.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.83% ( 0.11) | 52.16% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Molde |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.55% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.52% |
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