Latvia
3 - 1
Lithuania

Beneta (37' og.), Emsis (69'), Uldrikis (85')
Cigaņiks (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Golubickas (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Baltic Cup Group Stage clash between Latvia and Lithuania.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Latvia win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Lithuania
34.07%	22.49%	43.45%

Both teams to score 66.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.09%

33.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.23%

55.77%

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58%

20.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13%

52.87%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.71%

16.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.15%

45.85%

Score Analysis

Latvia 34.07%

Lithuania 43.45%

Draw 22.49%

Latvia	Draw	Lithuania
2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 4% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.5% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.68% Total : 43.45%