Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
