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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
LN

Turkey
3 - 3
Latvia

Karaman (2'), Calhanoglu (33'), Yilmaz (52' pen.)
Soyuncu (55'), Unal (90'), Turuc (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Savaļnieks (35'), Uldrikis (58'), Ikaunieks (79')
Kamess (68'), Emsis (71'), Fjodorovs (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawLatvia
59.37%25.89%14.74%
Both teams to score 35.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.33%64.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.34%83.66%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.5%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.24%54.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.26%87.73%
Score Analysis
    Turkey 59.37%
    Latvia 14.74%
    Draw 25.88%
TurkeyDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 18.27%
2-0 @ 13.78%
2-1 @ 8.3%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 4.17%
4-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.37%
0-0 @ 12.11%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 3.32%
0-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.74%

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