Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.