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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
LN

Netherlands
2 - 0
Latvia

Berghuis (32'), de Jong (69')
de Jong (52'), Blind (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ikaunieks (34'), Karklins (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawLatvia
64.11%22.87%13.03%
Both teams to score 38.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97%58.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29%78.72%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3%17.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65%48.35%
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.63%53.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.12%86.89%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 64.1%
    Latvia 13.03%
    Draw 22.87%
NetherlandsDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 16.36%
2-0 @ 14.16%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 5.13%
4-0 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.61%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 64.1%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 5.93%
1-2 @ 3.22%
0-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 13.03%

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