Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Switzerland in this match.