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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kybunpark
LN

Switzerland
1 - 0
Lithuania

Shaqiri (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cernych (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Switzerland in this match.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawLithuania
58.28%23.16%18.56%
Both teams to score 48.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68%50.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73%72.26%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02%16.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91%47.09%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86%41.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32%77.68%
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 58.27%
    Lithuania 18.56%
    Draw 23.16%
SwitzerlandDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 5.77%
4-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.21%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 2.76%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 18.56%

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