SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
22.7% ( 0.18) | 21.8% ( -0.08) | 55.5% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.05% ( 0.61) | 38.95% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.73% ( 0.65) | 61.27% ( -0.64) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( 0.5) | 30.51% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( 0.59) | 66.73% ( -0.58) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.18) | 13.98% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.51% ( 0.35) | 41.49% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 22.7% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.5% |
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