SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
23.37% ( 0.04) | 23.67% ( 0.08) | 52.96% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( -0.3) | 46.63% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( -0.28) | 68.9% ( 0.28) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( -0.13) | 34.16% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( -0.14) | 70.86% ( 0.13) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( -0.16) | 17.56% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( -0.27) | 48.11% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.37% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.95% |
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