SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 11 | -14 | 5 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 11 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | Dinamo Brest | 11 | -12 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Neman | 12 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Slavia Mozyr | 11 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Gomel | 11 | 0 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
30.43% ( -0.9) | 28.02% ( 0.22) | 41.55% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.84% ( -1.04) | 59.16% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% ( -0.81) | 79.59% ( 0.81) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -1.21) | 35.16% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -1.29) | 71.91% ( 1.29) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( -0.12) | 28.04% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% ( -0.15) | 63.69% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.11% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.55% |
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