SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Isloch |
28.09% ( -0.1) | 27.54% ( 0.08) | 44.37% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% ( -0.33) | 58.39% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( -0.26) | 78.99% ( 0.25) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% ( -0.26) | 36.57% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.64% ( -0.26) | 73.36% ( 0.26) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( -0.14) | 26.19% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( -0.19) | 61.27% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Isloch |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.36% |
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