Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
44.56% ( 0.43) | 25.3% ( -0.09) | 30.14% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% ( 0.24) | 48.7% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% ( 0.22) | 70.81% ( -0.22) |
Slavia Mozyr Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% ( 0.3) | 21.85% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.92% ( 0.45) | 55.07% ( -0.45) |
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% ( -0.11) | 29.95% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% ( -0.14) | 66.06% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 30.14% |
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