Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Neman had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Neman win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
