SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Slutsk | 21 | -10 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 21 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 | Dinamo Brest | 20 | -11 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 20 | 18 | 41 |
| 3 | BATE Borisov | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 4 | Dinamo Minsk | 20 | 15 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
22.69% ( -0.02) | 26.69% ( -0.01) | 50.62% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0.02) | 58.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.63% ( 0.01) | 79.37% ( -0.02) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.01) | 41.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.85% ( -0.01) | 78.15% ( 0.01) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 0.02) | 23.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( 0.03) | 57.39% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.16% Total : 22.69% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 14.16% 0-2 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 9% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 50.61% |
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