SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Neman |
28.71% ( 0.06) | 26.4% ( -0.02) | 44.89% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( 0.09) | 53.85% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( 0.07) | 75.32% ( -0.07) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( 0.09) | 33.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% ( 0.1) | 70.3% ( -0.1) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.02) | 23.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.9% ( 0.02) | 58.1% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.71% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.89% |
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