SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
57.87% ( -0.07) | 22.41% ( 0.02) | 19.72% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( -0) | 45.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( -0) | 67.93% ( 0.01) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.02) | 15.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.65% ( -0.05) | 44.35% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.05) | 37.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( 0.05) | 73.92% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.87% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 19.72% |
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