SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Naftan |
68.26% ( 0.24) | 18.71% ( -0.11) | 13.02% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( 0.21) | 41.57% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( 0.21) | 63.97% ( -0.22) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.85% ( 0.12) | 11.15% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.38% ( 0.27) | 35.61% ( -0.27) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0.06) | 43.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.56% ( -0.05) | 79.44% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Naftan |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 68.25% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.71% | 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.03% |
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