SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Neman had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Neman |
43.96% ( -2.79) | 25.67% ( 0.52) | 30.38% ( 2.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.86% ( -1.04) | 50.13% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% ( -0.93) | 72.1% ( 0.93) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -1.71) | 22.73% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( -2.59) | 56.41% ( 2.59) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( 1.1) | 30.51% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( 1.29) | 66.73% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.24)Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.38% |
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