SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Neman |
22.84% ( -0) | 27.15% ( 0.03) | 50.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.75% ( -0.09) | 60.26% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.57% ( -0.07) | 80.43% ( 0.07) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.06) | 42.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% ( -0.05) | 78.7% ( 0.05) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.05) | 24.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( -0.07) | 58.66% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.1% Total : 22.84% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 14.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 50.01% |
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