SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Neman had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Neman win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Celje |
31.1% ( -0.37) | 27.55% ( -0.1) | 41.34% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.71% ( 0.27) | 57.28% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.88% ( 0.22) | 78.12% ( -0.22) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.12) | 33.67% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -0.13) | 70.32% ( 0.13) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( 0.39) | 27.26% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( 0.5) | 62.7% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Celje |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.34% |
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