Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Neman had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celje in this match.
