SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Vitebsk | 16 | -13 | 11 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 15 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 15 | -19 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Slutsk | 15 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Belshina | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 15 | -9 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Belshina |
26.38% ( -0.15) | 24.77% ( -0.05) | 48.86% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( 0.09) | 48.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( 0.08) | 70.79% ( -0.08) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.08) | 32.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( -0.08) | 69.3% ( 0.08) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% ( 0.11) | 19.96% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.88% ( 0.19) | 52.12% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Belshina |
| 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.38% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.86% |
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