SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Slutsk | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Neman | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Slavia Mozyr | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Gomel | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Belshina | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 9 | -6 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Belshina |
49.7% ( -0.22) | 25.28% ( -0.14) | 25.01% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.18% ( 0.85) | 51.82% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% ( 0.73) | 73.58% ( -0.74) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( 0.25) | 20.87% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( 0.39) | 53.56% ( -0.39) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( 0.78) | 35.57% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.66% ( 0.8) | 72.34% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Belshina |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.01% |
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