SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 17 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | Vitebsk | 17 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 16 | -15 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Slutsk | 17 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 17 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | Vitebsk | 17 | -15 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
39.76% ( 0.27) | 28.54% ( 0.12) | 31.69% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 45.63% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.35% ( -0.49) | 60.65% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.27% ( -0.37) | 80.73% ( 0.36) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.09) | 29.77% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( -0.1) | 65.84% ( 0.09) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.55) | 35.02% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% ( -0.58) | 71.77% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.15% Total : 31.69% |
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