SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Energetik-BGU | 17 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | BATE Borisov | 17 | 21 | 33 |
| 3 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 16 | 18 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 18 | -16 | 13 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 16 | -15 | 10 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 17 | -25 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
64.88% ( -0.45) | 20.36% ( 0.16) | 14.77% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.11) | 45.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.1) | 67.43% ( 0.11) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( -0.16) | 13.12% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.23% ( -0.34) | 39.78% ( 0.34) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.35) | 42.81% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( 0.29) | 79.13% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 64.87% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.77% |
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