Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
