SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Belshina | 20 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 | Slutsk | 21 | -10 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Neman | 20 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 20 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Gomel | 20 | 2 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belshina | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
23.29% ( 0.16) | 24.82% ( 0.51) | 51.88% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( -1.9) | 51.46% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( -1.68) | 73.26% ( 1.68) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.91) | 36.91% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.3% ( -0.92) | 73.69% ( 0.92) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( -1) | 19.81% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( -1.64) | 51.89% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belshina | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.81% Total : 51.88% |
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