SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
55.38% ( 0.42) | 24.54% ( -0.15) | 20.08% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% ( 0.25) | 53.74% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( 0.21) | 75.22% ( -0.21) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( 0.26) | 19.32% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% ( 0.42) | 51.09% ( -0.42) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.57% ( -0.15) | 41.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.06% ( -0.13) | 77.94% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.08% |
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