SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Gomel |
29.53% ( -0.21) | 27.03% ( -0.02) | 43.44% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( -0.03) | 55.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% ( -0.02) | 77.02% ( 0.02) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( -0.17) | 34.12% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( -0.19) | 70.8% ( 0.19) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0.1) | 25.53% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( 0.14) | 60.38% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.44% |
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