SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
33.55% ( 3.73) | 26.69% ( -0.42) | 39.76% ( -3.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 2.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( 2.72) | 53.39% ( -2.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( 2.25) | 74.93% ( -2.25) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 4) | 30.01% ( -4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% ( 4.56) | 66.13% ( -4.56) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.51) | 26.31% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -0.68) | 61.44% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.72)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.58)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.46)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.88)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -1.34) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -1.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.76% |
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