SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Gomel |
47.03% ( 0.61) | 25.23% ( -0.14) | 27.74% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.31) | 49.69% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0.28) | 71.7% ( -0.28) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( 0.4) | 21.14% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% ( 0.61) | 54% ( -0.61) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.19) | 32.21% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.22) | 68.7% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.74% |
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