Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
