Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.