Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.
