Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Brest win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gorodeya had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gorodeya win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Brest would win this match.