SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Isloch |
18.7% ( 0.28) | 22.76% ( 0.11) | 58.54% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.06) | 48.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( -0.05) | 70.62% ( 0.06) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% ( 0.28) | 39.91% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% ( 0.26) | 76.57% ( -0.26) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( -0.15) | 16.25% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.22% ( -0.28) | 45.78% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Isloch |
| 1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.7% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.53% |
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