Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
