SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Smorgon |
| 69.78% | 18.85% | 11.37% |
| Both teams to score 44.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
