Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Neman had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.