Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 60.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rukh Brest had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Rukh Brest win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
