Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.
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