SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 67.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Belshina |
67.03% ( 0.32) | 19.21% ( -0.08) | 13.75% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( -0.21) | 42.17% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( -0.22) | 64.57% ( 0.22) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( 0.02) | 11.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.31% ( 0.05) | 36.69% ( -0.05) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.54% ( -0.5) | 42.45% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.17% ( -0.43) | 78.82% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Belshina |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 67.03% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.21% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.75% |
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