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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
25.57% ( 0.18) | 24.85% ( 0.04) | 49.58% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( -0) | 49.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( -0) | 71.65% ( 0.01) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( 0.14) | 33.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( 0.16) | 70.58% ( -0.15) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( -0.08) | 20.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( -0.14) | 52.25% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
| 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.57% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 49.58% |
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