SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Belshina win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belshina | Draw | Smorgon |
35.59% ( -0.55) | 25.69% ( 0.13) | 38.71% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( -0.62) | 48.88% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( -0.56) | 70.98% ( 0.57) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.61) | 26.56% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( -0.82) | 61.77% ( 0.82) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.08) | 59.4% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belshina | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.71% |
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