SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Belshina | 17 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Slutsk | 17 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 17 | -13 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 16 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Energetik-BGU | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 10 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slutsk | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
28.7% ( 8.41) | 25.92% ( 1.37) | 45.37% ( -9.78) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( 4.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( 1.54) | 51.98% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( 1.31) | 73.72% ( -1.31) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( 8.39) | 32.68% ( -8.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( 8.39) | 69.23% ( -8.39) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( -3.53) | 22.86% ( 3.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.41% ( -5.5) | 56.59% ( 5.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slutsk | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 1.29) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 1.73)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 1.53)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 1.04)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.64)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.81)Other @ 2.57% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.72) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.47)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.84)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( -2.02) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 8.14% ( -2.59)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.75)0-3 @ 4% ( -1.87)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.5)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.94)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.37% |
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