SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Neman | 15 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Slutsk | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 16 | 21 | 32 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 15 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 16 | 9 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
30.34% ( -0.4) | 27.52% ( 0.07) | 42.15% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.6% ( -0.38) | 57.4% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( -0.31) | 78.21% ( 0.31) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0.49) | 34.3% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29% ( -0.53) | 71% ( 0.53) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0) | 26.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.8% ( -0) | 62.2% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.34% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.14% |
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