Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.