Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
