Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.