SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 9 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 10 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Neman | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Slavia Mozyr | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Gomel | 9 | -1 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
40.04% ( 0.21) | 27.28% ( 0.05) | 32.68% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.11% ( -0.25) | 55.89% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% ( -0.2) | 77% ( 0.2) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( -0) | 27.33% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.78% ( -0) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.31) | 31.85% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -0.35) | 68.29% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Energetik-BGU | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.68% |
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